Let's assume West Brom are down and there are 2 more places up for grabs, with the 3 likeliest teams being Hull, Boro and Newcastle to go.
Newcastle's games are Villa, Liverpool, Boro, Fulham, Pompey: 5-7 points?
Hull's games are Villa, Liverpool, Stoke, Bolton, Man Utd: 0-4 points?
Boro's games are Arsenal, Man Utd, Newcastle, Villa, West Ham 2-4 points?
COME ON THE TOON!
p.s. 38 days :-)